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Circle Fade Update: Told You So
Back on June 10th, I wrote up Circle with a simple message, fade it.
Aug 15
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Circle Fade Update: Told You So
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Originate to Sell: The Fragile Foundation of Upstart’s Revenue Surge
When the tide’s coming in, everything floats and in bull markets blind monkey’s can throw darts and hit bullseye’s.
Aug 13
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Originate to Sell: The Fragile Foundation of Upstart’s Revenue Surge
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The Quiet Deposit Bill That Could Reshape Banking, Kill Stablecoins, and Boost Regional Banks Stocks
A dangerous idea is floating around the Hill right now that should terrify stablecoin disruptors.
Aug 11
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The Quiet Deposit Bill That Could Reshape Banking, Kill Stablecoins, and Boost Regional Banks Stocks
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A Circle Update & How JPM, PayPal, and PNC Are Hijacking Crypto’s Best Idea
Inside the quiet institutional takeover of Circle & stablecoins, the new financial rail war, and why programmable money might not be won by crypto at…
Aug 7
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A Circle Update & How JPM, PayPal, and PNC Are Hijacking Crypto’s Best Idea
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The Fair-Value Flywheel: SoFi’s Greatest Strength and Its Darkest Shadow
How SoFi turns model-based loan marks into growth fuel, how it parallels MSTR and their crypto accounting, and how the same playbook could reverse fast.
Aug 5
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The Fair-Value Flywheel: SoFi’s Greatest Strength and Its Darkest Shadow
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July 2025
The Most Hated Compounder in the Payments Space
EPS growth, buybacks, branded recovery, and a CEO who actually hits numbers
Jul 31
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The Most Hated Compounder in the Payments Space
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How to Survive a Market That Loves Digital Rocks More Than Revenue
It's summer, and you’ve earned your vacation.
Jul 27
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How to Survive a Market That Loves Digital Rocks More Than Revenue
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Citibank: Back Then Didn't Want Me, Now I'm Hot, They All On Me
A breakdown of Citi’s Q2 glow-up, from revenue growth to 24/7 tokenized payments, and how a bank everyone wrote off is quietly earning its way to…
Jul 17
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Citibank: Back Then Didn't Want Me, Now I'm Hot, They All On Me
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The Smart Money's Bank Playbook For The Next 18 Months
Full analysis of the top 190 U.S. banks using ROTCE, TBVPS, EPS growth, and AI insights. Names to buy, fade, and watch through 2026.
Jul 15
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The Smart Money's Bank Playbook For The Next 18 Months
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When Banks Beat, Crypto Heats, and Tariffs Hit.
If you invest in financials or banking or want to know what’s going on in the space, this is the place for you.
Jul 12
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When Banks Beat, Crypto Heats, and Tariffs Hit.
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Post Mortem: The U.S. Bank Stock Turn We Called In December
A quick note on the bullish U.S. Bank thesis from December
Jul 10
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Post Mortem: The U.S. Bank Stock Turn We Called In December
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Mean Girls, Monetary Policy, And Mortgage Rates
Jerome Powell is living his own verison of Mean Girls.
Jul 8
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Mean Girls, Monetary Policy, And Mortgage Rates
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