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Who Looks Like Valley

Who Looks Like Valley

Valley had to raise common so who else may be about to dilute shareholders?

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Victaurs
Nov 08, 2024
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Who Looks Like Valley
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Valley Bank last eve announced a $400mm common raise around $9.35. While not official and they would never tell you, this is likely a tap from regulators due to CRE concentrations.

Here is yesterday’s article. You all should read it if you’re a bank investor. There have been big moves.

Bank Observations After the Big Moves

Victaurs
·
November 7, 2024
Bank Observations After the Big Moves

Let's be rational about what happened yesterday. Bank stocks jumped 10% on Trump's win. Why? Because humans (or rather hedge funds and trading programs) tend to act first and think later, especially when money is involved.

Read full story

And one of the pages from the screen is here for you to look at:

Below the paywall is people most likely to raise to bring their concentrations back into line. This rally means everyone feels better about diluting as almost everyone has climbed above book value.

But for investors these high CRE banks are more than likely chomping at the bit to raise and get regulators off their back. Keep in mind some of these people have already raised (MBIN) and some have sold (IBTX), so you have to use your brain a little bit.

But in a world where you’re looking to reduce net exposure, these people will likely be a gift.

Enjoy & feel free to chat me with specific questions. I am very responsive to premium members.

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